BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
South Alabama 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
South Alabama 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
30.55 |
35.92 (+5.37) |
28.56 |
26.18 (-2.38) |
26.18 (+0.00) |
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
401.18 |
379.09 (-22.09) |
419.44 |
417.36 (-2.09) |
417.36 (+0.00) |
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.00 |
5.63 (-0.37) |
6.74 |
6.66 (-0.07) |
6.66 (+0.00) |
Defense
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
22.36 |
20.69 (-1.67) |
26.11 |
26.29 (+0.18) |
26.29 (+0.00) |
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
307.55 |
317.87 (+10.32) |
404.89 |
403.88 (-1.01) |
403.88 (+0.00) |
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.02 |
5.19 (+0.17) |
7.06 |
7.10 (+0.04) |
7.10 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
Category
| Measure(s)
|
Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
2024-08-31 |
North Texas |
37.90 |
33.91 |
-3.98 |
71.81 |
56.39% |
L 38-52 |
0-1 |
2024-09-07 |
@Ohio |
24.29 |
25.24 |
+0.95 |
49.53 |
48.47% |
L 20-27 |
0-2 |
2024-09-12 |
Northwestern State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 87-10 |
1-2 |
2024-09-19 |
@App State |
33.90 |
19.35 |
-14.55 |
53.25 |
73.33% |
W 48-14 |
2-2 |
2024-09-28 |
@LSU |
21.38 |
35.65 |
+14.27 |
57.02 |
27.12% |
L 10-42 |
2-3 |
2024-10-05 |
@Arkansas State |
34.19 |
22.93 |
-11.26 |
57.12 |
68.06% |
L 16-18 |
2-4 |
2024-10-15 |
Troy |
29.84 |
18.24 |
-11.59 |
48.08 |
68.59% |
W 25-9 |
3-4 |
2024-10-26 |
UL Monroe |
32.35 |
21.68 |
-10.67 |
54.04 |
67.11% |
W 46-17 |
4-4 |
2024-11-02 |
Georgia Southern |
31.18 |
29.69 |
-1.48 |
60.87 |
52.38% |
L 30-34 |
4-5 |
2024-11-17 |
@Louisiana |
22.99 |
30.61 |
+7.62 |
53.60 |
37.78% |
W 24-22 |
5-5 |
2024-11-23 |
@Southern Miss |
37.20 |
8.29 |
-28.92 |
45.49 |
96.38% |
n/a |
n/a |
2024-11-29 |
Texas State |
26.81 |
37.81 |
+11.00 |
64.63 |
32.36% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
5-7 |
2.54% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
6-6 |
66.40% |
2.54% |
97.46% |
7-5 |
31.07% |
68.94% |
31.06% |
Expected Wins Analysis
Record
| Probability
|
1-11 |
0.00% |
2-10 |
0.05% |
3-9 |
0.46% |
4-8 |
2.63% |
5-7 |
8.68% |
6-6 |
18.00% |
7-5 |
25.50% |
8-4 |
23.56% |
9-3 |
14.33% |
10-2 |
5.53% |
11-1 |
1.18% |
12-0 |
0.09% |