BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
South Alabama 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
South Alabama 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
30.55 |
35.92 (+5.37) |
26.40 |
18.91 (-7.49) |
25.29 (+6.38) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
401.18 |
379.09 (-22.09) |
424.00 |
426.23 (+2.23) |
408.55 (-17.68) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.00 |
5.63 (-0.37) |
7.25 |
7.39 (+0.14) |
6.73 (-0.66) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
22.36 |
20.69 (-1.67) |
30.60 |
31.96 (+1.36) |
27.73 (-4.22) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
307.55 |
317.87 (+10.32) |
467.00 |
464.68 (-2.32) |
409.62 (-55.05) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.02 |
5.19 (+0.17) |
8.59 |
8.82 (+0.22) |
7.46 (-1.36) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
North Texas |
43.10 |
40.39 |
-2.71 |
83.48 |
54.34% |
L 38-52 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Ohio |
26.70 |
21.39 |
-5.31 |
48.10 |
58.52% |
L 20-27 |
0-2 |
| 2024-09-12 |
Northwestern State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 87-10 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-19 |
@App State |
40.83 |
12.46 |
-28.37 |
53.29 |
95.50% |
W 48-14 |
2-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@LSU |
18.85 |
49.26 |
+30.41 |
68.11 |
1.22% |
L 10-42 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Arkansas State |
30.67 |
27.40 |
-3.27 |
58.08 |
55.25% |
L 16-18 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-15 |
Troy |
24.05 |
27.81 |
+3.76 |
51.86 |
43.97% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
UL Monroe |
19.38 |
29.30 |
+9.92 |
48.68 |
34.08% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
Georgia Southern |
33.43 |
36.81 |
+3.38 |
70.24 |
44.57% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Louisiana |
28.79 |
30.27 |
+1.48 |
59.05 |
47.63% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Southern Miss |
37.80 |
6.27 |
-31.53 |
44.07 |
99.90% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-29 |
Texas State |
34.07 |
46.23 |
+12.16 |
80.29 |
30.49% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
7.38% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
26.01% |
7.38% |
92.61% |
| 5-7 |
34.82% |
33.40% |
66.60% |
| 6-6 |
23.29% |
68.22% |
31.78% |
| 7-5 |
7.56% |
91.51% |
8.49% |
| 8-4 |
0.93% |
99.07% |
0.93% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.03% |
| 3-9 |
0.79% |
| 4-8 |
5.05% |
| 5-7 |
14.80% |
| 6-6 |
25.41% |
| 7-5 |
26.58% |
| 8-4 |
18.05% |
| 9-3 |
7.46% |
| 10-2 |
1.68% |
| 11-1 |
0.16% |
| 12-0 |
0.00% |