BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024

South Alabama 2024 Season Summary

Team Logo

National Average Data

Category 2023 Raw 2024 Raw 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 26.70 26.67 26.67 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 379.93 377.37 377.37 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.72 5.72 (+0.00)

South Alabama 2024 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 30.55 35.92 (+5.37) 28.56 26.18 (-2.38) 26.18 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 401.18 379.09 (-22.09) 419.44 417.36 (-2.09) 417.36 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 6.00 5.63 (-0.37) 6.74 6.66 (-0.07) 6.66 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 22.36 20.69 (-1.67) 26.11 26.29 (+0.18) 26.29 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 307.55 317.87 (+10.32) 404.89 403.88 (-1.01) 403.88 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.02 5.19 (+0.17) 7.06 7.10 (+0.04) 7.10 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.7

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2024-08-31 North Texas 37.90 33.91 -3.98 71.81 56.39% L 38-52 0-1
2024-09-07 @Ohio 24.29 25.24 +0.95 49.53 48.47% L 20-27 0-2
2024-09-12 Northwestern State Non-FBS Opponent W 87-10 1-2
2024-09-19 @App State 33.90 19.35 -14.55 53.25 73.33% W 48-14 2-2
2024-09-28 @LSU 21.38 35.65 +14.27 57.02 27.12% L 10-42 2-3
2024-10-05 @Arkansas State 34.19 22.93 -11.26 57.12 68.06% L 16-18 2-4
2024-10-15 Troy 29.84 18.24 -11.59 48.08 68.59% W 25-9 3-4
2024-10-26 UL Monroe 32.35 21.68 -10.67 54.04 67.11% W 46-17 4-4
2024-11-02 Georgia Southern 31.18 29.69 -1.48 60.87 52.38% L 30-34 4-5
2024-11-17 @Louisiana 22.99 30.61 +7.62 53.60 37.78% W 24-22 5-5
2024-11-23 @Southern Miss 37.20 8.29 -28.92 45.49 96.38% n/a n/a
2024-11-29 Texas State 26.81 37.81 +11.00 64.63 32.36% n/a n/a

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
5-7 2.54% 0.00% 100.00%
6-6 66.40% 2.54% 97.46%
7-5 31.07% 68.94% 31.06%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
1-11 0.00%
2-10 0.05%
3-9 0.46%
4-8 2.63%
5-7 8.68%
6-6 18.00%
7-5 25.50%
8-4 23.56%
9-3 14.33%
10-2 5.53%
11-1 1.18%
12-0 0.09%